FeedPosted Feb 9th 2010 8:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Wal-Mart (WMT), Walgreen Co (WAG), CVS Corp (CVS), Rite Aid Corp (RAD)
CVS Caremark (CVS), which competes with Walgreen (WAG), Rite Aid (RAD), and Wal-Mart (WMT), posted fourth-quarter data on Monday. Sales increased 7%, and adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations (excluding, in addition, a penny per share relating to a tax benefit) came in at 78 cents -- good for a growth rate of over 11%. That bottom-line performance matched analyst projections, according to our earnings preview.
As we all know, matching expectations is sometimes the death of a stock. The market has no conscience when it comes to mercilessly punishing an equity for not going beyond the call of the analysts. However, CVS actually did pretty well yesterday, rising 5% by the end of the session; the move was backed by healthy volume.
Continue reading CVS Caremark: Long-Term Bet After Q4?
Posted Feb 3rd 2010 10:40AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Is the market overpriced? Maybe it is cheap, or perhaps it is fairly valued. This is the third in a series examining the issue. Still, it has been my contention that it does not make any difference because no matter how the market is valued as a whole, there are plenty of cheap stocks out there to accommodate a large amount of capital allocation even this deep into a bull run.
If you would like to follow along from the beginning, the initial post screened stocks for lower than market average P/E ratios:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26
Posted Feb 1st 2010 2:50PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, Stocks to Buy, Raytheon Company (RTN), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

Let's try and reduce the gambling by examining the facts and ignoring what the bulls and bears are chatting up at the moment. We started the process by screening for lower than market average P/E ratios, see:
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks.
Two more important criteria influence today's review: the yield, a favorite of
"my pal Warren"; and the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) a focus of Peter Lynch, the retired fund manager extraordinaire of Fidelity's Magellan Fund.
Continue reading Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth
Posted Feb 1st 2010 8:50AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Options
Wal-Mart (WMT) closed at $53.43. WMT's volatility is flat on tight trading range as it is expected to report Q4 EPS on February 18. February put option implied volatility is at 20, March and June puts are at 21; near its 26-week average of 21, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Three stocks with IV rise on January 29; Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B) +9%, Focus Media (FMCN) + 8%, Talbots (TLB) +6% according to IVolatility.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Jan 29th 2010 12:00PM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Wal-Mart (WMT), Analyst Initiations
Analyst Upgrades
- Goldman upgraded Walmart (WMT) to buy from neutral, citing compelling valuation, margin expansion and expense control. The firm has a $60 target on the stock.
- FBR Capital upgraded Urban Outfitters (URBN) to outperform from market perform on valuation and its belief that sustainable positive comp trends will return in 2010. The firm maintains a $35 price target on shares.
- JPMorgan upgraded Manpower (MAN) to overweight from neutral. The firm cites valuation and improving temp fundamentals in the U.S. and France for the upgrade and has a $70 price target on the stock.
- Arena Resources (ARD) was upgraded to buy from neutral at SunTrust.
- C.R. Bard (BCR) was upgraded to neutral from underweight at Piper Jaffray.
- Cardinal Health (CAH) was upgraded to overweight from market weight at Thomas Weisel.
Continue reading Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: BKC, CAH, DGX, FII, MAN, URBN, WMT ...
Posted Jan 28th 2010 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), eBay (EBAY), Pfizer (PFE), Wal-Mart (WMT), International Business Machines (IBM), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Altria Group (MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), General Mills (GIS), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Merck and Co (MRK), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Serious Money, Stock Screen, S and P 500, Xcel Energy (XEL), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

We frequently receive comments that the market is overpriced. Recently one of our active readers commented that the market P/E was 30, which it's not. The
actual rate (S&P forecast) has been even higher at times due to the volatile market.
The average should trend closer to the long term P/E of 15.7 in the next few years. However, I have reviewed companies often covered on our site and come up with a list of 35 stocks that have price-to-earning ratios below the long-term average already. I think there are dozens of bargains regardless of the status of the overall market.
Continue reading Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks
Posted Jan 27th 2010 4:40PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Activision Inc (ATVI)
My trade on GameStop Corp. (GME) has come to an inauspicious end. Today, I sold out of my position, realizing a significant loss.
It's always difficult to turn a paper loss into an authentic one. You worry if the stock is going to suddenly rise after you sold out. I'm sure that could happen in my case. In fact, at the time of this writing, shares were higher than the price at which I sold them. I ditched them at around $19.60 per share.
Continue reading Trade Update: Realized Loss on GameStop
Posted Jan 27th 2010 3:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Wal-Mart (WMT), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, AOL (AOL)

If I was making my
2010 picks list today, I might have found a spot for Ross Stores (
ROST), the holding company for Ross Dress for Less. Analysts have a hold or market perform rating on the stock, but that is meaningless to me. What does have meaning is 20% sales growth in a dismal year, contributing to a PEG ratio of .75 and an under market P/E of 12.66 (averaging trailing and future figures).
These are very good numbers, however, in reviewing some of the data points with Raphael P., a helpful broker in the Pleasant Hill, CA Wells Fargo (
WFC) office, I was reminded that different financial sites have varying numbers. They usually vary by small fractions, as did the Wells data compared to the Aol (
AOL) Money and Finance site, so I would encourage investors to check multiple sources.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ross Stores Discounting More Than Fashion
Posted Jan 19th 2010 12:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Wal-Mart (WMT), Amazon.com (AMZN), Procter and Gamble (PG)
Retailers don't like competition. As it is, they get enough of it from each other in the pursuit of razor-thin margins. It's standard practice to squeeze manufacturers for lower prices and more concessions as part of this battle.
For years, it's also been the norm for retailers to push back on manufacturers' direct-to-consumer models, as it gives consumers one less reason to enter the store, results in smaller basket sizes and greater pressure on wallet share. When a consumer product giant decides to bypass the retailers, eyebrows rise across the consumer business industry, with manufacturers thinking about new revenue possibilities while retailers worry that other product companies will follow.
Continue reading P&G Tinkers with Direct-to-Consumer Model
Posted Jan 14th 2010 6:00PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Press Releases, Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Best Buy (BBY)
Target Corporation (TGT), a retailer that competes with Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) and Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), had some good news today for its shareholders. Management has decided to reinstate its stock buyback program. According to the press release, the company believes the economic environment has improved to the point where reducing some of its float could be a worthwhile investment.
This buyback is a continuation of a $10 billion program begun back in November 2007. About half of that sum has already been spent; the remainder of the allocation is expected to be used up in two to three years. So, this isn't an aggressive move, certainly. And, as always, evolving market conditions can affect the intended schedule.
Continue reading Target Thinks Its Stock Is a Good Investment -- Should You?
Posted Jan 7th 2010 3:15PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Nintendo (NTDOY)
Have you ever had one of those days? Yeah, you've had 'em. I'm having one right now. I cannot believe how wrong my thesis on GameStop (GME) turned out to be. Wrong, wrong, wrong.
I honestly thought things were going to be different today. The video-game retailer would report its holiday sales and I would see a pop in my shares. I would have the opportunity to sell out at a nice price above my cost basis. A cost basis, by the way, that had been severely challenged soon after I opened the position.
Continue reading Trade Update: GameStop -- An Absolute Nightmare
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